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Crude Dips to $95 as Surging Dollar, Recession Fear Test Mettle of Oil Rally_我的网站

A | 8月25日消息,近日,爱尔兰卡洛小镇发生一起惨烈车祸:五名十几岁的未成年少年驾驶偷来的宝马车深夜飙车逆行,在躲避警方追捕时与一辆民用轿车迎头相撞,当场全部身亡,而被撞车辆内的三姐妹与一名7岁儿童重伤送医,至今未脱离生命危险。 New York-traded West Texas Intermediate (WTI) settled down 97 cents, or almost 1%, at $98.53. The intraday low was $95.17, a bottom not seen since the week ended April 8. In just two sessions, the US crude benchmark had lost almost $15 or 14%.,Citigroup says WTI could collapse to $65 a barrel by the end of this year and slump to $45 by end-2023 if a demand-crippling recession hits.,London-traded Brent crude, settled at $100.69, down $2.08 or 2.02%. Earlier, it broke below the $100 mark the first time since April 25, hitting a session low of $98.59. Like WTI, Brent has also lost almost $15, or 13%, over two days of trading.,West May Use Proposed Russian Oil Price Cap Scheme for Gas Price, Von Der Leyen SaysYesterday, 12:20 GMT,A cluster of economic data of late has suggested that the United States may be headed for an economic slowdown - possibly a recession - as the Federal Reserve embarks on the most aggressive rate hikes in a generation to tame inflation roaring at 40-year highs.,A closely-watched gauge of the US services sector fell to its lowest in 20 months in June.,Separately, the US Labor Department signaled that the red-hot labor market may be starting to cool. Job openings, as measured by its monthly survey, fell in May, to a level of 11.254 million that is still high by historical comparison.,The job openings data came ahead of Friday’s more important June non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to show a smaller jobs growth compared with May. Economists say some 268,000 payrolls were probably added last month - versus the 390,000 in May - holding unemployment at 3.6% for a third straight month. A jobless rate of 4% or below is seen by the Federal Reserve as full employment.,“While our view remains that higher consumer prices are required to balance the oil market this summer, we acknowledge that significant and large shocks continue to distort fundamentals,” Goldman Sachs said in an energy market outlook.,Blockage of Russian Bond Payments to Erode Dollar Dominance, French Economist Says27 June, 15:29 GMT,A rocketing dollar ahead of more rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or Fed, has also shaken the roots of the energy rally seen since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February and the resulting sanctions on Moscow.,The Dollar Index, which pits the greenback against six major currencies, continued its ascent from overnight, leaping to above 107, its highest since December 2002. The dollar has rallied with few stops since November last year on bets of aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or Fed, which has just started delivering on those expectations.,The drone of recession talk is expected to get louder across the United States after the Atlanta division of the Federal Reserve forecast last week a second straight quarter of economic decline for the year. The Commerce Department officially reported a 1.6% economic contraction in the first quarter.,The Federal Reserve, in minutes of its June policy meeting released on Wednesday, said it saw a real danger of high inflation becoming entrenched in the US economy and the only way to balance runaway prices with growth was to have appropriate interest rate hikes.,The central bank is expected to push ahead with another three-quarter percentage point interest rates hike this month, potentially taking key lending rates to between 2.25% and 2.5% range from the 0 - 0.25% range they stood at in February.。

B | 据悉,死者均为爱尔兰知名青少年犯罪团体“幸运抽奖帮”的核心成员,这个由60至100名未成年人组成的团伙,早已在当地臭名昭著。 他们不以牟利为目的,专以偷车、高速逆行、占道狂飙等危险驾驶行为博眼球,将作案过程拍成视频发布到社交媒体,靠惊险刺激的画面收割流量与崇拜。 行为包括从高速公路深夜掉头逆行横跨多车道,到拥堵时段占用应急车道极速飞驰,每段视频在被删除前都能收获数百万播放量,他们越放肆、越危险,获得的点赞与关注就越多。 在该团伙的带动下,爱尔兰汽车盗窃案件数量自2021年起近乎翻倍,从每年3951起飙升至7893起,仅去年一年,该团伙就涉嫌犯下至少300起入室盗窃与偷车案件,多名路人因他们的危险驾驶受伤致残。 值得一提的是,2021年爱尔兰警方曾因追缉逆行车辆造成伤亡被起诉,此后定下规矩,绝不追逐高速公路上的逆行车辆,这反而为飙车少年提供了新思路——只要驶入逆行车道,警方就只能放弃追捕。 而爱尔兰《儿童法》规定仅在万不得已时才可拘留未成年人,即便11名核心成员累计被控427项罪名,也无一人被实际关押。

C | 事故发生后,当地民众普遍表示并不同情涉案少年,爱尔兰总理将问题归咎于社交媒体平台,声称要对TikTok处以15亿欧元罚款,但舆论普遍认为这只是口头威胁,并不会落到实处。 更令人担忧的是,惨剧并未止住模仿者,事发几天后,又有少年驾车在公路逆行酿成车祸。
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